Social Security Administration's "Fiscal Crisis" With the Disability Program
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By Scott B. Elkind, Esq.
More than 80% of all nonelderly adults are insured against disability by the Social
Security Administration Insurance (DI) program. The number of persons receiving these
benefits has increased substantially (from 2.4% of the population receiving benefits in 1985
to 4.1% in 2005) in the past two decades. In 2005 alone, 832,000 new persons were awarded
disability benefits which, assuming continued disability of claimants and current economic
trends, will cost taxpayers over the course of the average claim duration a total of $125 billion
in present day dollars. Once Medicare payments begin, there is an additional present day value
claim cost per disability recipient of $245,000.00. The annual spending for disability benefits is
8.1% of the federal budget in 2005. Given the expected increases in the aging population, the
increased number of disability claims poses a significant financial risk to the solvency of the
Social Security system.
The increase in the disability rolls has been attributed to a combination of several factors.
The first factor is the growth in recipients suffering from back pain and mental illness. The
comparatively low mortality rate and high claim duration period resulting from these conditions
has increased the size of the disabled population. The second concern is the increase of payable
disability benefits to increasing recipient earnings. A third factor is the rapid increase in the
female labor force. Surprising, the aging of the baby boom generation has only contributed
modestly to the increase in disability claim filings due to improvements in population health.
Lastly, and perhaps, most importantly, the number of persons exiting the disability has decreased
substantially. In 1983, 16.4% of people receiving disability benefits exited the system because
of death, entering retirement, or no longer being disabled. Persons exiting the system decreased
to 7.2% by 2005.
A similar funding “crisis” occurred in the 1970s leading to the tightening of medical
eligibility criteria and increasing continuing disability reviews. By 1980, this process yielded
both a significant decline in applications, award and enrollment, but generated a public backlash.
This led to 1984 legislation enlarging the disability determination focus from objectively
verifiable diagnostic criteria to consideration of an individual’s ability to function in a work
setting. Prior to 1984, 93% of initial awards were based on medical factors only. This fell to
58% by 2003. The 1984 legislation also placed controlling evidentiary weight on the treating
physician findings rather than findings made by SSA’s consultative physician.
There are several schools of thought as to what can be done to reform the system under
the guise of whether claimants are “misusing” these benefits. First, the assumption that people
are “cheating” the system has been belied by a 1989 study which revealed that 30% or less of
persons initially denied benefits would return to work. Given changes in the labor market, newly
disabled persons would be even less capable of finding employment. There is also a noted
incongruity that during an economic recovery, many people who have been out of work for
extended periods find it difficult to return to work.
Another consideration for controlling claims are changes in the screening process
for disability benefits. Despite repeated efforts at improving the efficiency, accuracy, and
consistency of this process, the disability determination process has evolved from a bureaucratic
function to an adversarial process which relies heavily on appeals and adjudication. This change
has resulted in records numbers of backlogged cases as they await adjudication. This is made
worse by the projected increase in claim applications (with a 4% in claims disability claims from
2008 to 2009 alone).
Another avenue for slowing growth of the disabled population is to reduce inflows to
the Disability Insurance Program. The first method of stemming such flow is to adopt more
rigorous eligibility criteria which again emphasizes medical rather than vocational factors as
done previously. This would have the unintended consequence of resulting in a increase denial
rate for deserving claimants suffering from conditions which are difficult to verify (such as those
causing pain or mental disorders). A suggested counterbalance would be by the commissioning
of “independent” medical and vocational evaluations of claimants during the initial disability
determination.
Alternatively, disability claims allowances could be decreased at the hearing level via
instituting attorney representation on behalf of the Social Security Administration. Such an
effort “would ameliorate this almost comically lopsided setting, in which the Social Security
Administration currently loses nearly three-quarters of all appeals.”
Another approach being considered is to increase the availability of Medicare as a
stopgap form of health insurance to assist in treatment of applicants and allow for a faster return
to work.
Increasing the number of continuing disability reviews is also possible. The cost of
performing such reviews is significantly lower than the savings associated with the reduction of
benefits achieved. Currently, the DI program is unable to perform the targeted number of these
reviews due to limited resources.
There is another, more controversial proposed method for limiting the expense of
disability claims. The current system is geared to an all-or-nothing cash award which could be
reformed to a graduated disability scale. Such a change would allow workers to remain in their
jobs in a more limited capacity while receiving partial disability benefit payments. Although this
would initially result in a rise in disability applicants, the payments would be lowered. With the
additional of tougher screening requirements, payments could be reduced substantially.
An even more potentially contentious alternative would be to consider nonwage income
and assets of disabled persons with an eye to reducing benefits payable to persons with greater
ability to finance their own existence.
Of course, increasing the payroll tax with dedication of the proceeds to the Social
Security Administration would alleviate the funding problem, but the political consequences of
raising taxes remain challenging.
In the end, despite the known challenges to the Disability Insurance program, there has
been no concerted effort to address the problem. The “kick the can down the road” mentality
remains pervasive due to potential political fallback as no one seems wishes to touch the
proverbial “third rail” of politics and tackle this issue.

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